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Utah health officials predicted many more cases of COVID-19 in schools than we’ve seen. Why was their model so off?

The state health department refused to answer questions about its analysis.

(Trent Nelson | The Salt Lake Tribune) Students wearing masks work in Elizabeth Kunz's second grade class at Neil Armstrong Academy in West Valley City on Tuesday, Sept. 28, 2021. The Utah Department of Health says there were fewer cases of COVID-19 in classrooms last month than anticipated.